Fear of a market drop is one of the biggest drivers of premature selling — and one of the most expensive mistakes property owners make. GeeVee uses leading indicators to give you an honest assessment of where the market is heading.

What the Leading Indicators Are Saying in 2026

Per Herron Todd White March 2026 and RBA data, Melbourne inner suburbs show: clearance rates holding above 70% in premium suburbs, days on market stable or declining, and vendor discounting reducing. These are not the signals of an imminent market drop.

The leading indicators that actually precede price falls are: rising unemployment (currently low), rapidly rising interest rates (currently on hold with cuts expected), and credit tightening (APRA settings currently accommodative). None of these are present in significant form in mid-2026.

When Selling Before a Drop Is Rational

• You have a specific financial need that requires liquidity in the next 12 months
• Your suburb is in oversupply (new apartment builds outpacing population growth)
• The property is an investment and you want to redeploy capital into a stronger market

When Holding Is Almost Always Correct

• You plan to re-enter the same market — you sell at a lower price and buy back at a lower price, often with transaction costs eating the gain
• Your property is a primary residence — timing the market on your home is rarely worth the disruption
• You have less than 10 years of hold time — short holding periods magnify market timing risk

Ask GeeVee: Property Cycle Analysis for Your Suburb

GeeVee analyses your specific suburb’s position in the property cycle using clearance rate trends, days on market, vendor discount, and price momentum.

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